Fabulous-Self
0xf64ca04af74d0314b094e63e2de973bc3f6a4992
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on May 31?
233 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 31?
215 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 31?
213 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
65 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 31?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
46 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?$5.00May 31, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 31?$1.05May 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C or below on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on May 31?$1.40May 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 31?$1.78May 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?$1.05May 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?$1.03May 30, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?$1.04May 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.29May 30, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?$6.28Feb 16, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.