Ill-Fated-Shift
0xf65b6a8b4df58974acbb672262503e424c68675c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$265.59
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.50
$112.50
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
295 shares @ 33.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.34
$-75.65
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1900 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.95
$-170.05
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
100 shares @ 5.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$-2.55
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-7.35
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
3530 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.05
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
2859 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
2800 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
2380 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-142.80
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
2100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Pistons$103.00Mar 23, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Pistons$103.00Mar 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Rockets$129.00Mar 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$68.91Mar 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$50.00Mar 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$89.36Mar 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$190.00Mar 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$4.20Mar 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$6.52Mar 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$2.10Mar 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$18.90Mar 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$3.62Mar 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$2.90Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$14.48Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$14.48Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline$16.80Mar 20, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Heat$485.05Mar 20, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Heat$208.57Mar 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$208.27Mar 19, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$339.00Mar 19, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $92.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".