Elderly-Standardisation
0xf65eec5f12195d1f1971f78fefc6ac52493c03f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-223.02
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on June 3?
458 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.16
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?
406 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 9?
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 3?
372 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 4?
313 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?
306 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 4?
306 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 7?
291 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?
287 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?
285 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 11, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 9?$4.26Jun 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$34.33Jun 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?$40.63Jun 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$12.31Jun 10, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?$10.73Jun 10, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?$12.76Jun 10, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$3.24Jun 9, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 9, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 9?$0.00Jun 9, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.