Profuse-Cloud
0xf663a167a975520a983b1afdfea3386c1f5504de
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-25.40
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
3482 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-655.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
3409 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?
2681 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-612.14
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?
2442 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
2333 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-72.75
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
1704 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.76
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
1372 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.36
- YES
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
1040 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-239.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1022 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-348.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$393.51Jul 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$369.21Jul 19, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$368.36Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$228.77Jul 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$227.95Jul 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$245.63Jul 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$909.69Jul 14, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$1.40Jul 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$139.75Jul 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$73.17Jul 14, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$207.88Jul 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$2.33Jul 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$245.97Jul 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$262.57Jul 12, 03:01 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.40Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$6.10Jul 9, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.00Jul 9, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.01Jul 9, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$3.04Jul 8, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $206.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.