Flat-Help
0xf6674fca22ccad54bf59afe739fb0d8986666997
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.96
Total PnL
$-6.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.30
$3.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$1.66
$0.48
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
8 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.43
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$2.12Jul 17, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.59Jul 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.47Jul 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 27?$1.18Jun 27, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$3.05Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$0.00Jun 10, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?$9.76Jun 10, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?$4.98Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.43Jun 2, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$14.04May 14, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be from Europe?$18.32May 14, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$6.78May 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$10.39May 6, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.09Feb 6, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$32.48Feb 6, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.09Jan 30, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$32.45Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$10.11Jan 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$9.97Jan 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$2.95Jan 8, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.