Costly-Independent
0xf66ab5ed7b91c9f6535b5bfc54cf00e4bc0f229f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-288.63
Realised
$54.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
10200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- UP
XRP Up or Down on August 26?
4250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
3882 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-187.58
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?
162 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-24.28
- YES
Will Benfica vs. Fenerbahçe end in a draw?
86 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.34
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
57 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.66
- NO
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?
55 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-20?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-19.90
- YES
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$33.66Jan 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?$33.64Jan 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?$0.03Jan 18, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?$11.81Jan 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?$10.00Jan 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win via Decision?$24.28Dec 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.10Sep 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$30.00Sep 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$50.11Sep 16, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $39.15Sep 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $15.27Sep 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$29.85Aug 31, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?$20.00Aug 31, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$31.16Aug 30, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 30, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?$51.16Aug 30, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?$37.01Aug 30, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$37.01Aug 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$53.80Aug 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica vs. Fenerbahçe end in a draw?$11.79Aug 27, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $37.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".