Near-Handball
0xf674fedaaa41b3474fffa6dcb44df996103dc9c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.31
Total PnL
$-371.24
Realised
$-7.04
Win rate
1%
141 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
12 shares @ 16.6¢·now 18.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.31
$0.28
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
36 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
8 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
8 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
8 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
8 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$2.15Aug 15, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.82Aug 14, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.50Aug 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.95Aug 13, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.10Aug 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.67Aug 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$4.39Aug 13, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.10Aug 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$3.09Aug 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.68Aug 13, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$3.95Aug 13, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.10Aug 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.74Aug 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.21Aug 13, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$6.00Aug 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$4.11Aug 13, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.22Aug 13, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 141 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
141 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 141 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.