Respectful-Trance-Initialise
0xf6777a18a34a6349fe76c5432dd7f81029792efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-73.27
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
413 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-207.56
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
314 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-180.36
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
293 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-198.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?
249 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 11?
216 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
208 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
207 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-161.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?
206 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-102.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?
155 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
135 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-44.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$0.10Jul 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 13?$33.55Jul 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?$0.83Jul 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.86Jul 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.02Jul 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.06Jul 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.72Jul 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Jul 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Jul 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.01Jul 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Jul 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$1.46Jul 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$1.51Jul 12, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?$118.42Jul 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$184.19Jul 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$212.72Jul 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$30.20Jul 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?$140.12Jul 11, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 11?$152.30Jul 11, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $38.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.