Wide-Eyed-Bump-Coinsurance
0xf67befa861f49ead5b7bf5e3249f70a98d511ac0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$141.52
Total PnL
$-3.55
Realised
$5.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
48 shares @ 56.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$35.52
$8.22
- YES
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
125 shares @ 27.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$34.38
$-0.42
- YES
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
60 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.40
$3.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
180 shares @ 9.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$18.90
$1.76
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$12.38
$-2.63
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
70 shares @ 37.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$6.68
$-19.46
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$1.55
- YES
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
3 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.79
$0.07
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$1.28Aug 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$8.08Aug 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$3.17Aug 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.03Aug 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$0.23Aug 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$0.80Aug 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$3.84Aug 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.01Aug 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.03Aug 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?$0.71Aug 20, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$13.96Aug 20, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.60Aug 20, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$2.27Aug 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$16.26Aug 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?$6.96Aug 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$28.33Aug 18, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$19.50Aug 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$20.80Aug 18, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$0.00Aug 18, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kai or Speed die to a Wither?$0.00Aug 18, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.