Noxious-Reach
0xf6857eba0c9bce4ba4a0a7bc800cc7d7a1c95ec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$213.07
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-113.77
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on August 20?
141 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$130.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on August 20?
85 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$82.79
$2.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 24?
265 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on July 30?
238 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?
228 shares @ 87.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?
212 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?
202 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
192 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-101.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?
181 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 3?
151 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 on August 20?$130.68Aug 20, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$132.11Aug 20, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$47.09Aug 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on August 20?$80.30Aug 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?$75.95Aug 20, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$100.20Aug 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$5.40Aug 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 20?$77.12Aug 20, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$10.32Aug 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?$10.32Aug 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?$4.26Aug 20, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?$10.29Aug 20, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?$103.10Aug 19, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?$99.20Aug 19, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 15?$1.05Aug 15, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Aug 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.25Aug 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.07Aug 15, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?$1.17Aug 15, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?$101.54Aug 15, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $82.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.