Prize-Lover
0xf68612891e2d74255d5ac967aebc22f8be2b9bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "gun" 5 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?
550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2024$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will Trump win Idaho by the largest margin?
254 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
212 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-46.94
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-37.20
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?
40 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Feb 27, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$30.00Feb 27, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$15.00Nov 5, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 5, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$20.00Nov 5, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by September 30?$14.22Sep 11, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$19.20Sep 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$19.58Sep 11, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$28.41Sep 11, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$16.18Sep 11, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$14.00Sep 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.84Nov 6, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$10.00Oct 24, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$37.20Oct 24, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEast coast port strike in January?$0.18Oct 24, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?$1.76Oct 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$6.90Oct 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$40.10Oct 24, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Idaho by the largest margin?$2.75Oct 24, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Idaho by the largest margin?$0.04Oct 24, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $14.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".