Favorable-Forever
0xf68a498e14c8abec85d3dde4b649fd249c78625d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$107.00
Total PnL
$-13.1K
Realised
$225.03
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$107.00
$3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
20831 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-486.98
- YES
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-26?
19779 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-733.51
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
10082 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-809.79
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?
3000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1884 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.42
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
1440 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-276.73
- YES
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1397 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
- YES
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?
1358 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-122.23
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$100.00Jun 1, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$44.65May 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$44.65May 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$106.96May 31, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$90.00May 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?$4.62May 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$93.97May 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$35.71May 27, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$60.00May 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.28May 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$63.28May 19, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$200.00May 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$13.49May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$12.60May 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?$61.26May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$56.00May 16, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $43.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".