Sociable-Washcloth
0xf68adc3e9fd518c18fd5fc19ef651d60a9e4495a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-260.20
Realised
$-3.61
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
41 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-23.52
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
33 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- ATHLETICS
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- UNDER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.78
- OVER
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
17 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- MIAMI MARLINS
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
17 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
16 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$6.92Aug 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$11.50Aug 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$7.04Aug 20, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$9.66Aug 20, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$5.13Aug 20, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$5.06Aug 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$10.45Aug 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$5.00Aug 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$4.90Aug 7, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers$8.18Aug 5, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$4.85Aug 4, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.01Aug 3, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$9.38Jul 30, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$10.92Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$5.93Jul 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$4.82Jul 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5$7.63Jul 27, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$7.19Jul 27, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$13.14Jul 23, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$8.43Jul 23, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.