Honorable-Likelihood
0xf694d289c102a2c46c2b87a41b87eb3c30308524
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
502 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on March 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on March 31?
206 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?$1.00Mar 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.52Mar 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.12Mar 18, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.