Smug-Aftershave
0xf6b4eafa61c8754dfff2157bcc0e1a06837bd001
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-967.58
Realised
$-28.78
Win rate
2%
160 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2PM ET
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
759 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
502 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Aug 2, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$10.34Aug 2, 05:38 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.09Jul 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$10.48Jul 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.48Jul 22, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$21.16Jul 22, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$20.41Jul 22, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$15.38Jul 22, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.34Jul 22, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.36Jul 22, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$10.24Jul 22, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$10.50Jul 22, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.08Jul 22, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$33.75Jul 22, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.56Jul 22, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$15.37Jul 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$10.34Jul 22, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 160 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
160 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 160 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.