Scarce-Toreador
0xf6b79d3337f0ba158d7941bdd55d057891ccb139
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-448.81
Realised
$-58.92
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
231 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-228.41
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 24?
215 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
206 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?
204 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 31?
191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 3?
145 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?
107 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5PM ET
104 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?
101 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?
100 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 15?$4.24Jul 15, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?$129.63Jul 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?$0.19Jul 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?$127.11Jul 12, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$119.53Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$0.24Jun 3, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 4?$117.62Jun 3, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$1.74May 24, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$28.93May 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$2.05May 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$228.41May 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 26?$134.15May 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 18?$198.54May 9, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 26?$132.27Apr 25, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?$0.00Apr 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 18?$196.95Apr 17, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$228.33Apr 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$226.96Apr 11, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$103.79Apr 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$3.01Apr 1, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $54.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.