Quintessential-Compassion
0xf6b821a07832d72c4b928e60652876256ac8d54c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-17.49
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?
4174 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.63
- ALFRED STATE PIONEERS
Alfred State Pioneers vs. Cornell Big Red
3266 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-75.11
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2719 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-75.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1349 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-17?
1054 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-253.00
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Vikings
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$103.16Jul 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$20.23Jul 12, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$14.23Jul 12, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.09Jul 12, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$97.13Jul 12, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$55.70Jul 12, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$65.68Jul 12, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$41.61Jul 12, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$80.37Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$49.57Jul 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$0.01Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$6.69Jul 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$16.56Jul 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$15.81Jul 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$34.26Jul 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$122.72Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$59.27Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.