Arctic-Kale
0xf6b823a98c21b96224fff1900cea144ebd6c4e7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.17
Realised
$-8.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
645 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
190 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.29
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
140 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Trump say "Walz" during the State of the Union address?
111 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
54 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $108K on September 10?
32 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.77
- CEJUDO
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)
31 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3.87Apr 8, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.63Feb 24, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.38Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.75Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.15Feb 24, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.70Feb 24, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Good" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$1.20Feb 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Walz" during the State of the Union address?$15.00Feb 22, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.85Dec 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.61Dec 7, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)$10.00Dec 7, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$9.76Dec 7, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.59Dec 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.04Dec 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.08Dec 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.42Dec 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.80Dec 5, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.07Dec 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?$0.51Dec 5, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Oct 31, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".