Thick-Doubt
0xf6cd5dc428aab8dd5fc84acd067de252848e4e7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-380.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1722 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-155.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
1257 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?
684 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?
302 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.00Apr 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$50.00Apr 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$5.00Oct 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$100.00Oct 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?$100.00Sep 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?$106.62Jun 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?$105.88Jun 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?$20.00Jun 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?$20.00Jun 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?$80.00Jun 6, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?$100.00Jun 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?$192.77May 25, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30?$150.00May 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?$114.40May 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?$150.00May 23, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?$23.67May 23, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$0.00May 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?$5.52May 22, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 19, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $73.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".