Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-742.72

Realised

$-1.80

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

YES
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 575–599 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39
YES
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 15–August 22?
1171 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025
$0.00
$-18.39

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times?$8.58Aug 22, 12:05 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240–254 times?$8.58Aug 22, 12:03 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times?$10.54Aug 22, 12:03 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22?$10.54Aug 22, 11:28 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times?$455.48Aug 22, 11:25 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$185.92Aug 22, 11:24 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1.74Aug 22, 11:24 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$238.90Aug 22, 11:23 UTC
CONVERSIONElon Musk # of tweets August 15-22? $1.2KAug 22, 11:19 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$28.91Aug 22, 11:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$654.71Aug 22, 11:12 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$2.00Aug 22, 09:50 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$655.20Aug 22, 08:23 UTC
REWARD$1.51Aug 22, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$2.2KAug 21, 17:12 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1.7KAug 21, 17:12 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$106.27Aug 21, 16:46 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$206.00Aug 21, 16:45 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$65.90Aug 21, 16:44 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$11.08Aug 21, 16:44 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry11 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $271.47
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Aug 19, 16:10 UTC
Last active: Aug 22, 12:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 22:36:03 UTC·src:Polymarket Data