Private-Fishing-Gigantism
0xf6dc14a4ce0aafe9de2c8bcd453158fcae702646
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$540.92
Total PnL
$-29.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
70 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$59.15
$8.75
- NO
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
92 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$44.16
$-6.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$27.56
$2.12
- YES
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
40 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$25.80
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$25.75
$3.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$25.44
$0.00
- NO
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
35 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 4, 2026$25.38
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$25.17
$-0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$24.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
37 shares @ 68.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$23.86
$-1.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?$15.84Aug 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?$12.82Aug 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 10?$15.60Aug 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?$16.72Aug 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?$8.42Aug 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?$1.18Aug 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?$1.18Aug 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$4.78Aug 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$11.27Aug 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10?$9.60Aug 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$5.72Aug 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$2.18Aug 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?$1.05Aug 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$2.31Aug 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 10?$7.40Aug 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakira have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.19Aug 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?$8.40Aug 8, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?$2.88Aug 8, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.72Aug 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?$1.11Aug 8, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.