Frigid-Detour
0xf6dd0f76a6a6868637cba5035ac659a85ee1e83e
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$76.20
Total PnL
$-232.13
Realised
$-75.41
Win rate
20%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
127 shares @ 3.9¢·now 10.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.88
$7.88
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
153 shares @ 4.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.41
$4.42
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
9 shares @ 10.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.90
$5.90
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 47.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 29.6¢·now 20.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.10
$-1.90
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
27 shares @ 30.0¢·now 13.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$-4.39
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
19 shares @ 10.6¢·now 12.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.36
$0.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.