Low-Toll
0xf6deb0978cbe63a4f05bec1a3d20f518f615dd43
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-247.30
Realised
$0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
117 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
4888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
4676 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-22.21
- YES
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
2906 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.81
- YES
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
1418 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?
886 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
655 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.56
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.28Mar 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.18Mar 9, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.16Mar 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.72Mar 9, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.78Mar 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.01Mar 9, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.12Mar 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?$0.25Mar 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.15Mar 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.15Mar 9, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 10?$2.00Mar 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 10?$1.50Mar 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.30Mar 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?$0.11Mar 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$0.17Mar 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.01Mar 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.05Mar 9, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.11Mar 9, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".