Notable-Apricot
0xf6e435dfae506218c0c81b907e44bd0625b27b02
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$37.55
Total PnL
$-57.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?
39 shares @ 5.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.27
$1.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 2?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.83
$0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 2?
12 shares @ 16.3¢·now 20.2¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.48
$0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?
235 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.47
$1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 2?
270 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 2?
171 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 2?
197 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 2?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 2?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?$0.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?$2.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 2?$0.491h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or higher on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on May 2?$2.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 2?$2.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?$2.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 2?$0.751h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?$2.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 2?$2.101h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?$2.101h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".