Wallet digest

active

Activity score

85/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$90.10

Total PnL

$0.89

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

NO
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?
31 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 27, 2026
$30.70
$0.88
NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 26?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026
$29.85
$0.01
NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 26?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026
$29.55
$0.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$25.23Jun 26, 23:42 UTC
REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$10.25Jun 26, 20:38 UTC
REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.09Jun 26, 20:32 UTC
REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.47Jun 26, 20:32 UTC
REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.47Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $560?$1.47Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $370?$1.47Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $375?$1.47Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.10Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $560?$1.48Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$10.28Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.48Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $375?$1.48Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $370?$1.48Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $530-$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$1.48Jun 26, 20:01 UTC
TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$0.02Jun 26, 19:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$0.15Jun 26, 19:57 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$1.10Jun 26, 19:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$0.05Jun 26, 19:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,650 on June 26?$0.12Jun 26, 19:57 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

pass

43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity71 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $1.46
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 26, 19:57 UTC
Last active: Jun 26, 23:42 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 00:00:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data