0xf6f3f5829eb85e2667f8eb2b21b7035d048347c4
0xf6f3f5829eb85e2667f8eb2b21b7035d048347c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-505.63
Win rate
1%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?
1900 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-487.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?
57 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
56 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.74
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?
48 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
40 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
39 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$7.36Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.99Jul 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.99Jul 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.99Jul 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$2.44Jul 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$0.45Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$2.47Jul 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?$2.00Jul 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$2.00Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$2.00Jul 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$6.03Jul 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$1.99Jul 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$1.99Jul 10, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?$2.86Jul 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$2.00Jul 3, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?$0.57Jun 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan?$2.53Jun 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?$2.39Jun 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$2.40Jun 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$2.27Jun 21, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 88 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
88 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.