0xf707b0990ffa2bd6d644a4a71fc60ff086d920f0
0xf707b0990ffa2bd6d644a4a71fc60ff086d920f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$25.68
Total PnL
$-50.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 28?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$19.75
$3.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 28?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.92
$1.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 28?
65 shares @ 86.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on February 27?$0.00Feb 28, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 27?$0.00Feb 28, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?$10.20Feb 28, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 2°C on February 28?$22.14Feb 28, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 27?$9.99Feb 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 28?$10.06Feb 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 28?$11.36Feb 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on February 28?$15.14Feb 28, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 28?$20.73Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 27?$20.99Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 28?$21.40Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 27?$21.57Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 27?$24.00Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on February 27?$27.05Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 27?$39.98Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 27?$40.32Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 27?$40.80Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 28?$45.63Feb 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 27?$50.22Feb 28, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on February 27?$66.19Feb 28, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.