Necessary-Disagreement
0xf70cfa68fa0b059ea0e0c6071cb6cb797cbf73c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$35.89
Total PnL
$-6.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$27.78
$25.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
5 shares @ 36.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.48
$3.48
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Ethereum above $4200 on August 29?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 3?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$2.00Feb 1, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?$2.00Jan 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 30, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 3?$0.00Oct 10, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $110K on August 29?$0.00Oct 10, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 3?$0.00Oct 10, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $110K on August 29?$0.00Oct 10, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 3?$2.53Oct 10, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $110K on August 29?$9.09Oct 10, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,500 September 29-October 5?$1.00Oct 2, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $240 on October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $210 on October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $230 on October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $220 on October 3?$1.00Oct 2, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Oct 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$1.00Oct 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$1.00Oct 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$1.00Oct 1, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".