Definitive-Beginning
0xf70d132e095e64082fd59253d6939f8954db2a75
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.68
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1197 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
133 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will SC Freiburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
51 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?
18 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.60Dec 10, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.62Dec 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-10?$3.00Dec 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?$1.00Dec 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?$1.00Dec 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?$3.00Dec 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?$2.00Dec 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?$4.47Dec 9, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?$7.03Dec 9, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.