Shoddy-Gamebird
0xf70e836efb3cd0b6d6af0c55d975a9b0053c3204
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.62
Realised
$68.92
Win rate
70%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
1176 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
279 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
274 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
207 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
203 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SPARTA
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
192 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
175 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
174 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.23Jul 22, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.16Jul 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.18Jul 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.68Jul 22, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$4.08Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$3.70Jul 22, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.18Jul 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.25Jul 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$19.97Jul 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$19.63Jul 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$21.78Jul 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.12Jul 22, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.29Jul 22, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.32Jul 22, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.23Jul 22, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$6.03Jul 22, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.18Jul 22, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$8.73Jul 22, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
44 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.