Idealistic-Hive
0xf71a4e2899f396bad13c3b5f60b7adb2d79cfa40
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$699.54
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?
107 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$107.02
$46.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 23?
107 shares @ 46.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$103.59
$53.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?
150 shares @ 56.7¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$91.50
$6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?
98 shares @ 71.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$74.24
$4.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 23?
150 shares @ 45.7¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$68.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?
150 shares @ 42.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$65.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 23?
71 shares @ 46.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$61.35
$28.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 23?
100 shares @ 46.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$59.50
$13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 23?
100 shares @ 44.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$38.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?
48 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$30.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$10.33Jul 23, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$80.45Jul 23, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$32.81Jul 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$20.87Jul 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$8.82Jul 23, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$18.34Jul 23, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$35.56Jul 23, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$6.96Jul 23, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.70Jul 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$30.00Jul 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$15.22Jul 23, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$17.61Jul 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$18.80Jul 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$31.09Jul 23, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$80.91Jul 23, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$17.02Jul 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$28.88Jul 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$15.82Jul 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$26.37Jul 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$16.42Jul 23, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $19.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.