Youthful-Midden
0xf71bc9e4564a5e21749165ee486be0a28442dbc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 750-774 times March 7-14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TEXANS
Texans vs. Jaguars
47 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$120.99Jul 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$73.75Jul 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$253.74Apr 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$292.70Apr 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$318.68Apr 22, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$254.00Apr 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$293.00Apr 20, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$319.00Apr 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$270.73Apr 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$295.70Apr 20, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$306.70Apr 20, 12:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$271.00Apr 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$296.00Apr 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$307.00Apr 18, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$240.75Apr 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$302.99Apr 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$324.34Apr 18, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $301.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.