Flamboyant-Aside
0xf71ca4906c48d1490bc1ca102df809fc62415920
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$30.96
Total PnL
$-69.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.72
$9.42
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
13 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.33
$7.33
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 12?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
442 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 January 5-11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?$1.00Jan 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Jan 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Jan 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta acquire TikTok?$2.27Jan 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$2.00Jan 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Jan 10, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.20Jan 10, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Cuba next?$1.00Jan 10, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Mexico next?$5.00Jan 10, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$2.70Jan 10, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.30Jan 10, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$5.00Jan 10, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.