Queasy-Snail
0xf71fb8084d90ca20bed8270ca7a757b46946269e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.16
Realised
$2.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
124 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 22 - 28)
67 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-56.74
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$5.77Mar 1, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$3.00Feb 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)$3.00Feb 9, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.56Feb 9, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.90Feb 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$2.00Feb 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$2.00Feb 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.00Jan 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.58Jan 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 9, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 22 - 28)$56.74Dec 20, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 15 - 21)$56.07Dec 20, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 15 - 21)$50.00Dec 12, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.