Crisp-Ultimatum
0xf72adbd642a24b3f565d9731164cad4078fd8ad7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$28.28
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$8.08
$0.08
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$8.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
7 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.05
$0.05
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.13
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$5.10Dec 8, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $660?$6.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in December 2025?$6.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 17 above $205?$6.05Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $540?$7.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$7.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 45°F or higher on November 20?$7.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 36°F or below on November 21?$7.02Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?$7.04Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or below on November 21?$7.04Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?$8.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$8.01Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$13.03Dec 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $540?$7.00Nov 20, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 17 above $205?$6.00Nov 20, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$7.00Nov 20, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00Nov 20, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$8.00Nov 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$8.00Nov 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$7.00Nov 20, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $14.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.