Dazzling-Trafficker
0xf72cb9e1ffe0e51da6e747555174cf81a7b9eeb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-25.8K
Realised
$33.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
2357 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$54.45
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
805 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$771.61
$30.99
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
655 shares @ 81.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$625.19
$90.72
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
669 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$611.91
$56.91
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
578 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.16
$78.33
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
473 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.95
$73.55
- NO
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
206 shares @ 81.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$138.34
$-28.91
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
41 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.97
$2.40
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
1111 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.22
$-40.55
- NO
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
18 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$18.39
$0.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$297.33Jul 1, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$296.00Jul 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?$355.52Jul 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$577.61Jul 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?$1.1KJul 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$1.2KJul 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$1.4KJul 1, 18:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$60.70Jun 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$15.76Jun 30, 05:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.98Jun 30, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.60Jun 30, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $69.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.