Official-Crewmember-Dissemination
0xf7334b326b36320069ba506b71189fca558a297d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$19.61
Total PnL
$-57.73
Realised
$23.64
Win rate
72%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 22?
118 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.53
$2.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.67
$1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 22?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 22?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 22?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 22?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 22?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22?
24 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.26
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?
10 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.19
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.09
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 21, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$0.85Jul 21, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$0.44Jul 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 22?$0.04Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 21, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?$0.99Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 22?$1.98Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 22?$2.00Jul 21, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 22?$1.01Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 21, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22?$1.09Jul 21, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 22?$0.59Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 22?$2.00Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?$6.15Jul 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 22?$0.39Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$1.16Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 22?$0.84Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?$0.93Jul 21, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
39 closed markets, 72% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.