Gaseous-Mixture
0xf73bcf8d2a18cd0647c1b7c3dbaddf5015b910bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$759.14
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-37.04
Win rate
1%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 16?
35 shares @ 34.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$33.60
$21.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 16?
44 shares @ 53.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$29.92
$6.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?
43 shares @ 27.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$27.52
$15.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 17?
69 shares @ 34.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$27.25
$3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 17?
81 shares @ 27.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$27.24
$4.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 16?
34 shares @ 35.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$25.16
$13.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 18?
36 shares @ 64.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$24.30
$1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?
69 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$23.80
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 17?
49 shares @ 43.1¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$22.30
$1.18
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 17?
86 shares @ 22.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$21.93
$2.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 18?$12.21Aug 16, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?$31.00Aug 16, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?$17.00Aug 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 18?$6.62Aug 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 17?$11.94Aug 16, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 17?$12.21Aug 16, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 17?$0.80Aug 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 17?$11.76Aug 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 17?$11.09Aug 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?$2.80Aug 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?$1.33Aug 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?$10.57Aug 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 17?$12.29Aug 16, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?$4.65Aug 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?$12.04Aug 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 17?$9.21Aug 16, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 17?$3.11Aug 16, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?$1.22Aug 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 17?$8.40Aug 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 17?$0.71Aug 16, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 150 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
150 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 150 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.