Lavish-Sailor
0xf743c60c34f39dd207c0736151d5830babc7f6fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.01
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$401.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Trump wins every swing state?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$6.01
$4.99
- NO
Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?
19500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-356.97
- NO
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?
10050 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-215.64
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
7414 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.81
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 5?
6350 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
2500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
1700 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.38
- YES
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
1600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
1100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$15.00Jan 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$47.40Nov 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$8.77Nov 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$39.84Nov 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$34.67Nov 27, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$168.00Nov 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$1.89Nov 21, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$12.11Nov 21, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$2.47Nov 21, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$0.97Nov 21, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$0.05Nov 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?$0.52Nov 21, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?$5.70Nov 21, 19:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Doug" in her speech after the election is called?$6.68Nov 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Doug" in her speech after the election is called?$6.02Nov 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?$6.90Nov 6, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 6, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Doug" in her speech after the election is called?$3.90Nov 6, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" in her speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 6, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 22:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".