Comfortable-Kohlrabi
0xf743f416caa37f672e8434a9132f681a8fa0ac84
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$13.0K
Total PnL
$-14.9K
Realised
$609.66
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
28911 shares @ 29.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.6K
$4.2K
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
440 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$434.52
$25.71
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.42
$0.84
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
22324 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
20370 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
6420 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out first?
5875 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5728 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
4306 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.16Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.17Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.24Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.