Posh-Downstairs
0xf745ea05167fb5303b6df298d7bd0c0943e85a0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$203.67
Total PnL
$0.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 24?
63 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$63.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 27?
47 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$47.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 31?
46 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on June 4?
31 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$31.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on June 4?$31.00Jun 2, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 31?$46.00May 29, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 27?$47.00May 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 24?$63.01May 23, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 15?$23.02May 15, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 19?$24.02May 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 19?$24.00Apr 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 15?$23.00Apr 13, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.05Mar 31, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$15.08Mar 18, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 16?$34.34Mar 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 16?$34.00Mar 15, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 15?$38.08Mar 14, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$39.04Mar 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 15?$38.00Mar 14, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$46.05Mar 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$39.00Mar 10, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $28.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".