Envious-Emergency
0xf748bfa841b3cc4c9352a7246987680d7f5977db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-70.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
731 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-410.39
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
710 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-454.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
286 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-168.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
145 shares @ 74.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-108.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
39 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
30 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 0xak_ win the competition?$50.10Dec 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 0xak_ win the competition?$50.05Dec 18, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?$8.05Dec 18, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?$21.00Dec 18, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?$21.00Dec 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?$8.04Dec 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.98Dec 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?$20.98Dec 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$108.64Nov 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$392.00Nov 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$18.39Nov 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$160.00Nov 22, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$386.21Nov 22, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$250.00Nov 22, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$542.82Nov 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$378.78Nov 22, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$369.22Nov 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLJair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?$9.56Nov 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?$9.75Nov 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$274.56Nov 22, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $82.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.