0xf756ee690b4a06f5237865d300408d5809c37d78
0xf756ee690b4a06f5237865d300408d5809c37d78
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-1.95
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 14?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 14?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?
901 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?
370 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
94 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
88 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
76 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.69Jul 22, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.29Jul 22, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.37Jul 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.02Jul 22, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.02Jul 22, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$7.53Jul 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$7.03Jul 22, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.43Jul 22, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.03Jul 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$6.25Jul 22, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.88Jul 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.05Jul 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.07Jul 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.05Jul 22, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.32Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.38Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.43Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.02Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.02Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$5.03Jul 22, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.