Untried-Donkey
0xf757867bcce07ec7395357a215dcbf778c311b58
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.20
Total PnL
$-118.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 61.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.84
$0.71
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.49
- NO
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.68
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.38
$0.01
- NO
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.31
$0.09
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.18
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
295 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-118.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.56Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.27Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.67Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.37Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.27Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$118.00Dec 1, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.90Dec 1, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.15Oct 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.13Oct 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.23Oct 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.22Oct 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.12Oct 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.20Oct 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.50Oct 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.02Oct 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$2.11Oct 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out before October?$2.17Oct 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$2.34Oct 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$2.48Oct 27, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$2.77Oct 27, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.