Distant-Exaggeration
0xf75d2a1f6fcc897c1283693f3c9ad8b3731a4069
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-525.54
Realised
$-1.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
620 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
510 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-493.68
- YES
Will Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
430 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 November 17-23?
403 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September?
391 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
297 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
290 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
198 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2900 on June 17?
191 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$239.52Mar 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$239.76Mar 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$189.24Mar 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$189.81Mar 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.58Mar 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 27, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.03Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$159.68Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$159.84Mar 25, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $1.29Mar 22, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22?$0.24Mar 19, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?$125.00Mar 19, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$2.70Mar 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$0.70Dec 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1.50Dec 20, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22?$258.70Dec 20, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22?$259.74Dec 20, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.08Dec 20, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $180 December 15-21?$199.20Dec 20, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 December 15-21?$199.60Dec 20, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $119.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".