0xf760d7b493dcf6ffee24a290595255f65da12ee2
0xf760d7b493dcf6ffee24a290595255f65da12ee2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-5.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on February 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 15?$0.00Feb 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on February 18?$2.00Feb 18, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 12?$0.00Feb 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 15?$2.00Feb 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Feb 12, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 11?$0.00Feb 12, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 11?$0.00Feb 12, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?$0.00Feb 12, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?$2.08Feb 12, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 12?$2.00Feb 11, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?$0.00Feb 11, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 10?$0.00Feb 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 11?$2.00Feb 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.00Feb 10, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 9?$0.00Feb 10, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 11?$2.00Feb 10, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 23°F or below on February 9?$0.00Feb 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 11?$1.00Feb 10, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 11?$3.00Feb 10, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 10?$3.00Feb 9, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.