0xf768c094c8eb7b5c6e0b1ab6b8c375b2bef07154
0xf768c094c8eb7b5c6e0b1ab6b8c375b2bef07154
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman Trophy?
430 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?
388 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
242 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?
153 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?
131 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? $0.15Dec 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? $1.00Dec 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? $1.63Dec 17, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.30Dec 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Garrett Nussmeier win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Dec 9, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman Trophy?$0.43Dec 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Dec 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Dec 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.20Dec 5, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.00Dec 5, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.03Dec 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Dec 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Garrett Nussmeier win the Heisman Trophy?$0.08Dec 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?$0.30Dec 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?$0.39Dec 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$0.24Dec 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?$0.13Dec 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?$0.15Dec 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$1.23Dec 1, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.