Masculine-Man
0xf7759feba84b84785db82795b2a9d12b525761cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.80
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.73
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
US strike on Iran on June 24?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$3.72Jun 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 24?$1.00Jun 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.00Jun 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before July?$1.00Jun 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$1.00Jun 24, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$1.00Jun 24, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 24, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 24, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.00Jun 24, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Iran on June 24?$1.00Jun 24, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?$11.50Jun 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?$11.49May 17, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$10.00May 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$9.98Feb 28, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Clippers$17.80Jan 19, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Pistons$12.50Jan 17, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Devils$0.00Jan 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Maple Leafs$14.60Jan 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Nuggets$22.11Jan 16, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Pistons$5.50Jan 16, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.