Black-Applause
0xf777129a2c38504accdf726cb9b3d480cc373cde
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-216.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Israel not strike Yemen between September 8-15 ET?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?
1828 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
483 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 14 ET?
317 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 13 ET?
279 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on August 25?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on September 1?
262 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?
228 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?$38.00Oct 15, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Sep 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$15.00Sep 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Syria by September 15?$1.00Sep 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$188.09Sep 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$50.00Sep 11, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 15 ET?$2.00Sep 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 13 ET?$2.00Sep 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 14 ET?$2.00Sep 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel not strike Yemen between September 8-15 ET?$2.00Sep 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 12 ET?$2.00Sep 10, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET?$1.00Sep 10, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on September 1?$34.00Aug 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108K on September 1?$16.00Aug 28, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$0.00Aug 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$3.00Aug 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$10.00Aug 26, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$3.00Aug 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by August 31?$5.00Aug 25, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114K on August 25?$1.00Aug 25, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".