Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-447.84

Realised

$-0.84

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET
383 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-221.06
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET
189 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-99.79
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
149 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-65.48
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ET
69 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-36.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET
11 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-8.24
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-2.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ET
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12PM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET$221.06Sep 18, 22:25 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117,500 and $118,000 on September 18 at 8PM ET?$11.63Sep 18, 22:10 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117,000 and $117,500 on September 18 at 8PM ET?$78.20Sep 18, 22:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.10Sep 18, 21:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Sep 18, 21:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET$15.34Sep 18, 21:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117,500 and $118,000 on September 18 at 8PM ET?$50.00Sep 18, 20:58 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117,000 and $117,500 on September 18 at 8PM ET?$50.00Sep 18, 20:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET$10.50Sep 18, 20:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$226.28Sep 18, 20:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$219.35Sep 18, 20:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET$5.00Sep 18, 20:03 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3PM ET$11.46Sep 18, 20:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3PM ET$7.00Sep 18, 19:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET$8.24Sep 18, 17:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Sep 18, 17:55 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET$8.09Sep 18, 17:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET$1.15Sep 18, 17:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET$9.98Sep 18, 17:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET$2.00Sep 18, 17:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry85 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $25.70
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Sep 18, 00:40 UTC
Last active: Sep 18, 22:25 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:27:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data